From britdisc-owner@csv.warwick.ac.uk  Thu Oct  8 14:11:26 1998
Received: (from daemon@localhost)
	by pansy.csv.warwick.ac.uk (8.8.7/8.8.8) id NAA25854
	for britdisc-outgoing; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:59:17 +0100 (BST)
Received: from exchpk02.chelt.ac.uk (exchpk02.chelt.ac.uk [194.66.194.6])
	by pansy.csv.warwick.ac.uk (8.8.7/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA25824
	for <britdisc@csv.warwick.ac.uk>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:59:12 +0100 (BST)
Received: by exchpk02.chelt.ac.uk with Internet Mail Service (5.5.2232.9)
	id <4J9BWWXZ>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:59:27 +0100
Message-ID: <8102C4585310D211858D0060B01A41330A38F0@exchpk02.chelt.ac.uk>
From: "HUGHES, Chris" <CHughes@chelt.ac.uk>
To: "'Britdisc'" <britdisc@csv.warwick.ac.uk>
Subject: Big Funky vs World
Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:59:26 +0100 
MIME-Version: 1.0
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2232.9)
Content-Type: text/plain;
	charset="iso-8859-1"
Sender: owner-britdisc@warwick.ac.uk
Precedence: bulk

I think an argument here is getting distorted, but it raises a number of
points.

BAFlies performed very poorly at the start of the tour last year, the sent a
weak team to the critical 1st tournament, Merrick was injured, and so they
finished tour 1 in a low position. Then during the season they picked up
their perfomance - Mezza came back from injury, they practised hard and
improved (Sorry - that's not supposed to sound like it is a one man team).
When it finally came round to nationals they were seeded tenth just outside
the top eight slot. The nationals rather like NFL / NBA leagues, take the
performance over a year and then let these qualifying  teams slug it out to
finally get a winner. Unless we start again and have Nationals as a
completely open tournament some one just outside the cut is going to get
pissed.

The argument here should be more about the tour. This was set up so that
teams played teams of approx the same level, but in the tournament format
you would always play some one better than you (unless you won outright).
And the tour WORKS like that. BAF this year, 1st Touch last year, came up
through the ranks as they improved. The argument is that teams are too
hampered / promoted by their initial results. BAF had a bad 1st tour, and
since the seeding is a complicated version of an average result you need a
number of good results to remove the effect of a bad result, which is then
too late in the season. Vhappy and their initial results worked for them as
they started to struggle later in the tour and were consistently seeded
higher than their previous starting position, BAF always started lower than
their previous finishing position.

So why not start each tournament with seedings based on previous finishing
positions. Yes this would promote more movement of teams, and would make it
easier to remove the effects of a poor tournament, but it also punishes the
teams who have a poor tournament much quicker. Example Team finishes 1st in
T1, 9th in T2, then has poor turnout and plays badly and finishes in 9th
position in T3 by loosing a lot of their games. By basing the starting
position on average results they would start T4 approx 4th , could go on to
win T4 and T5 and the tour. Using the previous finishing position system the
best they could do in T4 is finish 5th, irrelevant of how good they are and
then go and win T5 but not the tour, loosing to a team that is consistently
2nd.

Both systems have their ups and downs, the present system makes teams slow
to move, and teams need good results at the beginning, the new system, which
is not in place yet, is quicker to react to a new result - to the benefit or
detriment of the team.

My personal preference is to have the new system used for seedings in the
tour, allowing more movement of teams within groups, and the present to seed
teams for national, thereby rewarding a consistent team with a slot in
nationals


Discuss.

Chris